Civil Engineering > GATE 2019 SET-1 > Transportation Engineering
Traffic on a highway is moving at a rate of 360 vehicles per hour at a location. If the number of vehicles arriving on this highway follows Poisson distribution, the probability (round off to 2 decimal places) that the headway between successive vehicles lies between 6 and 10 seconds is _______.

Correct : 0.17 to 0.19

Traffic flow rate q = 360 vehicles per hour.

Converting to vehicles per second:

q = 360 / 3600 = 0.1 vehicles/second

When the number of vehicles follows a Poisson distribution, the time headway between successive vehicles follows an Exponential distribution.

The probability density function of headway t is:

f(t) = q × e−qt

The probability that headway lies between t1 and t2 is:

P(t1 ≤ t ≤ t2) = e−qt1 − e−qt2

Here t1 = 6 seconds and t2 = 10 seconds.

Substituting values:

P(6 ≤ t ≤ 10) = e−0.1 × 6 − e−0.1 × 10

P(6 ≤ t ≤ 10) = e−0.6 − e−1.0

P(6 ≤ t ≤ 10) = 0.5488 − 0.3679

P(6 ≤ t ≤ 10) = 0.1809

Rounding off to 2 decimal places:

P(6 ≤ t ≤ 10) = 0.18

Therefore the probability that the headway between successive vehicles lies between 6 and 10 seconds is 0.18 or 18%.

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